Session 40:
Modelling demographic change in the context of uncertainty

Thursday, September 2
4:00 PM - 5:30 PM
Room HS16

Chair: Arnstein Aassve, Università Bocconi

  1. Bayesian time series models for forecasting population growth in England and WalesGuy J. Abel, University of Southampton; Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton; Jonathan J. Forster, University of Southampton; James Raymer, University of Southampton; Peter W.F. Smith, University of Southampton

  2. Bayesian forecasting of immigration to selected European countries using expert knowledgeJakub Bijak, University of Southampton; Arkadiusz Wisniowski, University of Southampton

  3. Multiregional population projection models with uncertaintyJames Raymer, University of Southampton; Andrei Rogers, University of Colorado at Boulder; Guy J. Abel, University of Southampton

  4. Simpler versus more complex population forecasting methods for regions and local areas: evidence from AustraliaTom Wilson, University of Queensland

  5. Integrated modelling of European migrationArkadiusz Wisniowski, University of Southampton; Jonathan J. Forster, University of Southampton; James Raymer, University of Southampton; Peter W.F. Smith, University of Southampton; Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton; Guy J. Abel, University of Southampton

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